A Generalized Small Area Estimation Model: Validated with the Children Anemia Study

Tracking #: 916-1896

Authors:


Submission Type: 

Research Paper

Abstract: 

Small area estimation (SAE) is a well-known method to produce reliable estimates for target variables associated with small areas and small sample sizes, and it is remarkably growing for public health applications. Direct survey estimates (DESvy) typically produce imprecise and unreliable estimates since they are ob tained from the target variable of interest under the sampling model. To address this problem, this paper proposes generalized direct survey estimates (GDESvy) by incorporating the survey independent variables into the current DESvy. This approach improves the SAE model estimates by including survey independent vari- ables in the sampling model through the proposed generalized small area estimation (GSAE). To validate and assess the performance of the proposed GSAE model, we first utilized independent variables from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) to produce GDESvy estimates. Subsequently, we employed auxiliary variables from the population and housing census at the local level of Ethiopian administrative zones to provide precise GSAE estimates under the Fay-Herriot model. The results demonstrate that the GDESvy and GSAE estimates outperform the corresponding DESvy and SAE estimates, respectively, for anemia status among children aged 6–59 months by producing lower standard errors. These findings are crucial for informing policy formulation and budget allocation at lower levels of government administration.

Manuscript: 

Tags: 

  • Reviewed

Data repository URLs: 

The 2016 EDHS childhood anemia data was obtained from the DHS program website
https://www.dhsprogram.com.
Additionally, the zonal shapefiles were accessed with-
out restrictions from the https://africaopendata.org website. The IPUMS International
database, which offers census and survey data from all over the world, provided the cen-
sus data used in the present study. The URL where the population and housing census
dataset is available in https://international.ipums.org/

Date of Submission: 

Saturday, May 17, 2025

Date of Decision: 

Friday, May 23, 2025


Nanopublication URLs:

Decision: 

Reject (Pre-Screening)